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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+5.32vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+4.77vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+2.10vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22+3.75vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.19+0.83vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.78-2.30vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.25vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.73-0.37vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University0.550.00vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-1.81vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.06-1.18vs Predicted
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14Florida International University0.52-3.32vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.24-1.87vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-2.49vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-1.16-1.09vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Florida State University1.959.3%1st Place
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6.77Jacksonville University-1.386.9%1st Place
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4.31College of Charleston2.3818.8%1st Place
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4.63University of Miami2.3214.9%1st Place
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7.1University of South Florida1.547.1%1st Place
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9.75The Citadel1.223.0%1st Place
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7.83University of South Florida1.196.3%1st Place
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5.7North Carolina State University1.7811.2%1st Place
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9.25Florida Institute of Technology0.733.8%1st Place
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9.63Clemson University0.734.0%1st Place
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11.0Embry-Riddle University0.552.8%1st Place
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10.19Rollins College0.413.2%1st Place
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11.82Duke University0.061.6%1st Place
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10.68Florida International University0.523.1%1st Place
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13.13University of North Carolina-0.241.3%1st Place
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13.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.190.9%1st Place
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15.91Auburn University-1.160.4%1st Place
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13.49Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 18.8% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 14.9% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 10.5% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 12.9% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 47.9% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.