Race 4B

nelson-rolsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Colin Feik 58.0% 27.4% 10.5% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Feik 58.0% 27.4% 10.5% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Roehmholdt 7.2% 12.2% 20.2% 18.5% 17.6% 14.4% 7.3% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Swanson 18.6% 28.8% 24.7% 15.5% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Abhay Baliga 4.0% 7.6% 11.8% 14.7% 18.7% 17.7% 16.7% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Biancardi 2.7% 4.5% 7.9% 12.1% 16.2% 18.5% 22.2% 15.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Crossland 2.4% 4.1% 5.7% 10.5% 13.5% 15.9% 21.9% 26.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Fontaine 6.4% 11.8% 16.3% 19.1% 19.0% 15.2% 8.7% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Biancardi 2.7% 4.5% 7.9% 12.1% 16.2% 18.5% 22.2% 15.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Little 0.7% 3.6% 2.9% 6.2% 6.7% 14.9% 22.0% 43.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.