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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.61vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+5.89vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+1.51vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+1.77vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.41+5.47vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54+1.11vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.02vs Predicted
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8Florida International University0.52+2.65vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.73+0.77vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06+1.73vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+1.25vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.95-6.66vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-0.45vs Predicted
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15The Citadel1.22-5.14vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.55-4.94vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-1.16-1.52vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-0.24-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61University of Miami2.3215.6%1st Place
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7.89University of South Florida1.196.0%1st Place
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4.51College of Charleston2.3816.6%1st Place
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5.77North Carolina State University1.7811.1%1st Place
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10.47Rollins College0.412.9%1st Place
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7.11University of South Florida1.548.2%1st Place
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9.02Florida Institute of Technology0.735.1%1st Place
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10.65Florida International University0.522.5%1st Place
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9.77Clemson University0.733.9%1st Place
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11.73Duke University0.061.6%1st Place
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6.86Jacksonville University-1.387.2%1st Place
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13.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.1%1st Place
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6.34Florida State University1.958.9%1st Place
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13.55Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.4%1st Place
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9.86The Citadel1.223.5%1st Place
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11.06Embry-Riddle University0.552.3%1st Place
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15.48Auburn University-1.160.8%1st Place
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13.08University of North Carolina-0.241.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 16.6% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Emily Allen | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 12.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 46.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.