← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.54+5.96vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.95+4.28vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.78+2.56vs Predicted
-
4Embry-Riddle University0.55+7.08vs Predicted
-
5Duke University0.06+6.81vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.19+1.96vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.41+3.68vs Predicted
-
8Florida International University0.52+2.72vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami2.32-4.49vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.73-0.24vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University-1.38-4.12vs Predicted
-
12Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.87vs Predicted
-
13The Citadel1.22-3.07vs Predicted
-
14Auburn University-1.16+1.71vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-1.65vs Predicted
-
16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-2.46vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina-0.13-4.16vs Predicted
-
18College of Charleston2.38-13.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.96University of South Florida1.548.1%1st Place
-
6.28Florida State University1.959.8%1st Place
-
5.56North Carolina State University1.7810.9%1st Place
-
11.08Embry-Riddle University0.551.9%1st Place
-
11.81Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
-
7.96University of South Florida1.195.5%1st Place
-
10.68Rollins College0.412.2%1st Place
-
10.72Florida International University0.522.8%1st Place
-
4.51University of Miami2.3215.7%1st Place
-
9.76Clemson University0.733.6%1st Place
-
6.88Jacksonville University-1.388.8%1st Place
-
9.13Florida Institute of Technology0.734.2%1st Place
-
9.93The Citadel1.223.3%1st Place
-
15.71Auburn University-1.160.4%1st Place
-
13.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.3%1st Place
-
13.54Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.2%1st Place
-
12.84University of North Carolina-0.131.6%1st Place
-
4.28College of Charleston2.3816.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Allen | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 47.9% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 14.1% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 14.1% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 9.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 16.6% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.