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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+2.01vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.20+4.21vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90-0.16vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+2.30vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.43+6.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley2.12-0.64vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-3.66vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.34vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.76-0.03vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University2.20-4.79vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-2.79vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.41-2.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.04-2.65vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.42-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Stanford University3.800.2%1st Place
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6.21Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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2.84Stanford University3.900.3%1st Place
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6.3California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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4.14Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.36University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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4.34California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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7.66California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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6.21Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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10.67California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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11.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.040.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 25.0% | 23.3% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 30.0% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 11.6% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Roberts | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 13.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Boyden | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.