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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+5.03vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+4.86vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32-0.32vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.32vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.95-0.66vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.78-2.42vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41+1.52vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.55+0.81vs Predicted
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11Florida International University0.52-0.26vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+1.36vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.22-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.13-1.15vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.73-5.10vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.06-4.32vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-3.40vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.16-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37College of Charleston2.3817.2%1st Place
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7.03University of South Florida1.546.9%1st Place
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7.86University of South Florida1.195.9%1st Place
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6.75Jacksonville University-1.388.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Miami2.3214.4%1st Place
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9.32Florida Institute of Technology0.734.3%1st Place
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6.34Florida State University1.959.0%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University1.7812.3%1st Place
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10.52Rollins College0.412.9%1st Place
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10.81Embry-Riddle University0.553.0%1st Place
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10.74Florida International University0.522.8%1st Place
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13.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.2%1st Place
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9.9The Citadel1.223.8%1st Place
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12.85University of North Carolina-0.131.2%1st Place
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9.9Clemson University0.733.0%1st Place
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11.68Duke University0.062.4%1st Place
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13.6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.1%1st Place
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15.73Auburn University-1.160.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 17.2% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 8.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 14.2% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.