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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+3.41vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+3.69vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+3.83vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.95+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+2.88vs Predicted
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6Florida International University0.52+4.76vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.55+3.85vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-4.41vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.41+0.62vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.82vs Predicted
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12The Citadel1.22-2.23vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.13-0.21vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-0.43vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.73-5.01vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-1.16-0.28vs Predicted
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17Duke University0.06-5.38vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41College of Charleston2.3816.0%1st Place
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5.69North Carolina State University1.7810.8%1st Place
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6.83Jacksonville University-1.388.1%1st Place
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6.47Florida State University1.959.2%1st Place
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7.88University of South Florida1.195.2%1st Place
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10.76Florida International University0.522.9%1st Place
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10.85Embry-Riddle University0.553.1%1st Place
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7.01University of South Florida1.547.6%1st Place
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4.59University of Miami2.3216.6%1st Place
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10.62Rollins College0.413.0%1st Place
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9.18Florida Institute of Technology0.733.5%1st Place
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9.77The Citadel1.223.2%1st Place
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12.79University of North Carolina-0.131.4%1st Place
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13.57Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.2%1st Place
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9.99Clemson University0.733.3%1st Place
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15.72Auburn University-1.160.6%1st Place
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11.62Duke University0.062.4%1st Place
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13.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 8.8% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 14.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 47.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.