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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+1.73vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.80+0.83vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23+0.86vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.77+5.60vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+1.04vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley2.12-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.43+3.98vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.73vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-1.07vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.76-1.34vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.04-0.80vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.41-2.67vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University0.77-4.40vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.42-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Stanford University3.900.3%1st Place
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2.83Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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3.86Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.6Santa Clara University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.04California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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4.2California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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11.98University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.27California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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8.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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11.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.040.0%1st Place
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10.33California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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9.6Santa Clara University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 29.2% | 24.8% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 25.9% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 13.8% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Burke | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 11.7% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Roberts | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 19.3% | 40.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Boyden | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| William Burke | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.