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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+5.79vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+4.30vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+1.37vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+1.58vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.23vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19+1.61vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32-2.52vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22+1.63vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University0.55+1.83vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.17+1.68vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-4.28vs Predicted
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12Florida International University0.52-1.38vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+0.35vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-0.74vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.41-4.76vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.06-4.43vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.24-3.86vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.16-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79University of South Florida1.547.6%1st Place
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6.3Florida State University1.958.9%1st Place
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4.37College of Charleston2.3816.4%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University1.7811.2%1st Place
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9.23Florida Institute of Technology0.733.9%1st Place
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7.61University of South Florida1.195.7%1st Place
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4.48University of Miami2.3216.4%1st Place
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9.63The Citadel1.224.5%1st Place
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10.83Embry-Riddle University0.552.6%1st Place
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11.68Clemson University-0.171.8%1st Place
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6.72Jacksonville University-1.387.7%1st Place
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10.62Florida International University0.523.1%1st Place
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13.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.1%1st Place
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13.26Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.6%1st Place
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10.24Rollins College0.413.5%1st Place
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11.57Duke University0.062.5%1st Place
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13.14University of North Carolina-0.241.3%1st Place
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15.59Auburn University-1.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 16.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Samantha Bialek | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Emily Allen | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 12.8% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 13.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.