← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.90+1.78vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.23+1.79vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.80-0.11vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+0.13vs Predicted
-
5Santa Clara University0.77+4.60vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley2.12+0.33vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.23vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.43+4.00vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.71vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-1.10vs Predicted
-
11Santa Clara University0.77-1.40vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.41-1.49vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon0.76-3.39vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Cruz0.04-2.87vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis0.42-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.78Stanford University3.900.3%1st Place
-
3.79Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
2.89Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
-
4.13California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.6Santa Clara University0.770.0%1st Place
-
6.33University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
-
5.77California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
-
12.0University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.29California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
-
9.6Santa Clara University0.770.0%1st Place
-
10.51California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
-
9.61University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
-
11.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.040.0%1st Place
-
10.28University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 28.3% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 14.6% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 25.5% | 22.6% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Burke | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Roberts | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 42.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| William Burke | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Boyden | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.