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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.43vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+3.51vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+3.75vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54+2.97vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.55+5.81vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.38-1.81vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.19+0.76vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.07vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.95-2.74vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+3.25vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.24+1.96vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-1.59vs Predicted
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13Florida International University0.52-2.40vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-0.17-2.21vs Predicted
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15The Citadel1.22-5.31vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.06-4.42vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-3.71vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.16-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43University of Miami2.3216.6%1st Place
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5.51North Carolina State University1.7811.5%1st Place
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6.75Jacksonville University-1.388.0%1st Place
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6.97University of South Florida1.546.9%1st Place
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10.81Embry-Riddle University0.552.5%1st Place
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4.19College of Charleston2.3818.2%1st Place
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7.76University of South Florida1.195.7%1st Place
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9.07Florida Institute of Technology0.734.4%1st Place
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6.26Florida State University1.959.2%1st Place
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13.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.6%1st Place
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12.96University of North Carolina-0.241.0%1st Place
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10.41Rollins College0.412.2%1st Place
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10.6Florida International University0.522.8%1st Place
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11.79Clemson University-0.171.7%1st Place
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9.69The Citadel1.223.8%1st Place
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11.58Duke University0.062.2%1st Place
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13.29Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.4%1st Place
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15.66Auburn University-1.160.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.6% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 10.7% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Samantha Bialek | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 13.2% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.