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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+2.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.65+1.85vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+1.88vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University-0.18+6.33vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27-2.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.36+4.74vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-2.66vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.63-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.27-0.60vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.34-1.75vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.50-3.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.52vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.18-3.67vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-3.10-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Stanford University3.060.2%1st Place
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3.85Stanford University2.650.2%1st Place
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4.88California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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10.33Santa Clara University-0.180.0%1st Place
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2.95Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.34California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.19California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.270.0%1st Place
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9.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.340.0%1st Place
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8.85California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.33Santa Clara University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Oregon-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 23.4% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ortel | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Hall | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 23.3% | 24.7% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 26.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberley Cohan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grant Petersen | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Hall | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Wai | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 89.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.