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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+4.50vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.55+8.73vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+1.62vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+2.70vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.95+1.22vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.41+4.28vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+6.27vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.24+5.01vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.19-1.23vs Predicted
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10The Citadel1.22-0.45vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.96vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.54-5.14vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.06-1.45vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.16+1.67vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-1.66vs Predicted
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16Florida International University0.52-5.22vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.17-5.22vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.38-13.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5North Carolina State University1.7811.6%1st Place
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10.73Embry-Riddle University0.552.6%1st Place
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4.62University of Miami2.3215.8%1st Place
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6.7Jacksonville University-1.387.6%1st Place
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6.22Florida State University1.9510.2%1st Place
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10.28Rollins College0.413.2%1st Place
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13.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.1%1st Place
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13.01University of North Carolina-0.241.1%1st Place
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7.77University of South Florida1.195.7%1st Place
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9.55The Citadel1.223.6%1st Place
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9.04Florida Institute of Technology0.734.5%1st Place
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6.86University of South Florida1.547.0%1st Place
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11.55Duke University0.062.4%1st Place
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15.67Auburn University-1.160.5%1st Place
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13.34Georgia Institute of Technology-0.340.7%1st Place
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10.78Florida International University0.522.7%1st Place
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11.78Clemson University-0.172.2%1st Place
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4.34College of Charleston2.3817.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 15.8% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 45.6% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 17.4% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.