← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.81+4.33vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+2.38vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University-1.38+3.63vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University1.95+2.20vs Predicted
-
5Florida International University0.52+5.56vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.02+2.59vs Predicted
-
7Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.03vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University1.78-2.45vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.54-2.24vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University0.55+0.79vs Predicted
-
11The Citadel1.22-1.65vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University0.73-2.27vs Predicted
-
13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34+0.13vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-1.03vs Predicted
-
15Duke University0.06-3.59vs Predicted
-
16Rollins College0.41-5.78vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina-0.13-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.33College of Charleston1.8112.8%1st Place
-
4.38University of Miami2.3217.1%1st Place
-
6.63Jacksonville University-1.388.2%1st Place
-
6.2Florida State University1.958.8%1st Place
-
10.56Florida International University0.523.2%1st Place
-
8.59University of South Florida1.025.4%1st Place
-
9.03Florida Institute of Technology0.734.2%1st Place
-
5.55North Carolina State University1.7810.9%1st Place
-
6.76University of South Florida1.549.1%1st Place
-
10.79Embry-Riddle University0.552.8%1st Place
-
9.35The Citadel1.224.7%1st Place
-
9.73Clemson University0.733.3%1st Place
-
13.13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.2%1st Place
-
12.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.8%1st Place
-
11.41Duke University0.062.0%1st Place
-
10.22Rollins College0.412.9%1st Place
-
12.36University of North Carolina-0.131.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.1% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Adam Larson | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 25.8% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 23.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.