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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University-0.18+9.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.65+1.87vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27-0.19vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.06-0.73vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-0.01vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-1.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.40-0.43vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.34+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.36+1.72vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.63-3.73vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.27-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.39vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.50-4.20vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.18-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-3.10-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21Santa Clara University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.87Stanford University2.650.2%1st Place
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2.81Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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3.27Stanford University3.060.2%1st Place
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4.99California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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4.57California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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9.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.340.0%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.27California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.270.0%1st Place
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10.61University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.8California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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10.21Santa Clara University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Oregon-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hall | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| John Ortel | 16.2% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 28.9% | 22.9% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 21.7% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 11.6% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Petersen | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 25.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberley Cohan | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 25.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Hall | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Wai | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 89.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.