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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+4.18vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+3.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+3.92vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+2.63vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.20vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.02+2.44vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.73+2.56vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University0.55+2.66vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.06+2.50vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+3.09vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.95-4.85vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.32-7.66vs Predicted
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13Florida International University0.52-2.69vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.13-1.47vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-1.61vs Predicted
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16The Citadel1.22-6.53vs Predicted
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17Rollins College0.41-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18College of Charleston1.8114.1%1st Place
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5.45North Carolina State University1.7811.3%1st Place
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6.92University of South Florida1.547.3%1st Place
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6.63Jacksonville University-1.387.8%1st Place
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9.2Florida Institute of Technology0.733.5%1st Place
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8.44University of South Florida1.025.5%1st Place
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9.56Clemson University0.734.2%1st Place
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10.66Embry-Riddle University0.552.5%1st Place
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11.5Duke University0.062.2%1st Place
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13.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.6%1st Place
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6.15Florida State University1.9510.3%1st Place
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4.34University of Miami2.3217.6%1st Place
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10.31Florida International University0.522.9%1st Place
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12.53University of North Carolina-0.131.8%1st Place
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13.39Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.2%1st Place
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9.47The Citadel1.223.4%1st Place
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10.18Rollins College0.412.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Allen | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 23.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.6% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.1% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 18.2% | 25.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.