← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sara Morgan Watters 24.8% 21.3% 15.5% 14.3% 11.5% 6.0% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Billing 10.7% 10.5% 13.6% 11.5% 11.0% 11.6% 10.8% 8.6% 7.6% 3.3% 0.8%
Kathryn Metscher 6.9% 6.8% 7.3% 7.9% 10.1% 10.2% 10.7% 13.7% 11.9% 12.0% 2.5%
Lauren Burke 6.3% 6.4% 7.3% 7.7% 8.6% 11.2% 11.7% 13.6% 13.0% 11.1% 3.1%
Morgan Wilson 13.0% 12.3% 12.6% 11.8% 11.2% 10.1% 10.1% 8.2% 5.8% 4.3% 0.6%
Corey Hall 9.4% 12.2% 10.0% 11.2% 11.8% 11.3% 10.7% 9.7% 7.6% 5.2% 0.9%
Abby Featherstone 12.1% 12.4% 12.1% 11.5% 12.2% 10.1% 9.9% 9.9% 5.3% 4.1% 0.4%
Emilie Mademann 8.4% 6.6% 10.8% 10.1% 8.7% 11.4% 11.6% 10.0% 12.1% 8.2% 2.1%
Sara Burke 5.0% 7.2% 6.7% 8.4% 7.3% 9.7% 11.1% 11.7% 15.7% 12.3% 4.9%
Francesca Ferrero 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 3.2% 4.4% 10.7% 72.7%
Mary Cummins 2.9% 3.7% 3.4% 4.3% 6.2% 6.5% 7.6% 9.2% 15.6% 28.6% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.