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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon2.51+1.62vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.49+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.58+1.64vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.69+0.32vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.88-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.55-0.28vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.94-4.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.64-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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3.62University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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5.83Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.64University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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4.89Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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4.78Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 28.4% | 23.3% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Philip Gordon | 18.2% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Nelson | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 6.8% |
| Shea Artis | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Erika Vranizan | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Connor Bescos | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.3% |
| John Elam | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 32.9% |
| Joseph Teno | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Eric Du | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.