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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+1.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.25+0.17vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-0.33vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.20vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Georgetown University2.4035.2%1st Place
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3.04University of Pennsylvania2.1622.4%1st Place
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4.61University of Vermont1.059.0%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Naval Academy1.2510.3%1st Place
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4.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.048.2%1st Place
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.7%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.1%1st Place
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6.02SUNY Maritime College-0.024.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 35.2% | 27.8% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Jackson McAliley | 22.4% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
Calvin Lamosse | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
Hugh Carty | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
Mats Braaten | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 8.6% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 16.6% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 21.3% | 26.6% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.