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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+4.79vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.88+2.86vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+3.02vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.55+1.53vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+1.59vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.40+0.38vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.36+2.88vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.22-1.11vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.10+1.36vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.45-3.75vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.79vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-2.62vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University0.30-2.83vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.05-2.54vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-2.40vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.83-2.32vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.02vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.06-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Florida State University1.6211.2%1st Place
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4.86College of Charleston1.8815.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Miami1.649.4%1st Place
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5.53Jacksonville University1.5511.9%1st Place
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6.59Eckerd College1.348.7%1st Place
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6.38North Carolina State University1.409.2%1st Place
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9.88The Citadel0.363.5%1st Place
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6.89Clemson University1.228.3%1st Place
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10.36Rollins College0.102.2%1st Place
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6.25University of South Florida1.458.5%1st Place
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12.79Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.4%1st Place
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9.38Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.5%1st Place
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10.17Embry-Riddle University0.303.1%1st Place
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11.46University of North Carolina-0.051.8%1st Place
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12.6University of Central Florida-0.461.3%1st Place
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13.68Duke University-0.830.4%1st Place
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15.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.3%1st Place
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16.39Auburn University-2.060.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 15.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| William Turner | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 3.5% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 7.3% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 27.5% | 36.8% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 23.4% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.