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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.88+3.98vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+3.92vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.54vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.22+2.79vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45+0.53vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.30+3.18vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.62-2.16vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.22vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.40-3.54vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.36-1.03vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.10-1.89vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.11vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.05-2.48vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-2.06+1.20vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.83-2.33vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-0.46-4.43vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98College of Charleston1.8814.6%1st Place
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5.92University of Miami1.6410.2%1st Place
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5.54Jacksonville University1.5511.2%1st Place
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6.79Clemson University1.228.5%1st Place
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6.57Eckerd College1.347.5%1st Place
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6.53University of South Florida1.458.2%1st Place
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10.18Embry-Riddle University0.302.9%1st Place
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5.84Florida State University1.6210.4%1st Place
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9.22Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.2%1st Place
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6.46North Carolina State University1.409.2%1st Place
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9.97The Citadel0.363.0%1st Place
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10.11Rollins College0.104.0%1st Place
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12.89Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.2%1st Place
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11.52University of North Carolina-0.051.6%1st Place
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16.2Auburn University-2.060.1%1st Place
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13.67Duke University-0.831.3%1st Place
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12.57University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
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16.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Stordahl | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Chase | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 3.9% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 24.4% | 44.5% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 7.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 27.0% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.