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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+4.79vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.88+2.89vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.34+3.60vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.64+1.97vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.40+1.46vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.22+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05+4.48vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.10+2.12vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+3.74vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.55-4.33vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.53vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.30-1.73vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.36-2.95vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.83-0.34vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-2.42vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.06+0.26vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.96vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.45-11.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Florida State University1.6210.8%1st Place
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4.89College of Charleston1.8815.0%1st Place
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6.6Eckerd College1.347.2%1st Place
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5.97University of Miami1.649.2%1st Place
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6.46North Carolina State University1.409.4%1st Place
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6.77Clemson University1.227.8%1st Place
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11.48University of North Carolina-0.052.4%1st Place
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10.12Rollins College0.102.9%1st Place
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12.74Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.5%1st Place
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5.67Jacksonville University1.5510.8%1st Place
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9.47Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.8%1st Place
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10.27Embry-Riddle University0.303.0%1st Place
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10.05The Citadel0.362.8%1st Place
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13.66Duke University-0.831.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Central Florida-0.461.1%1st Place
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16.26Auburn University-2.060.3%1st Place
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16.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.19University of South Florida1.4510.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Matthew King | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martin | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Noah Frank | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 6.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 23.7% | 46.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 28.5% | 37.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.