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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.22+5.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.88+2.88vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+2.27vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.62+0.83vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53+0.48vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.10+3.25vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55-2.43vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University0.30+1.15vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.34-3.31vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.36-0.94vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.90vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-3.66vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.05-2.71vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-1.47vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-3.42vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-2.06-0.66vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Clemson University1.227.2%1st Place
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4.88College of Charleston1.8814.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Miami1.6410.9%1st Place
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6.27University of South Florida1.459.2%1st Place
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5.83Florida State University1.6210.5%1st Place
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6.48North Carolina State University1.539.7%1st Place
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10.25Rollins College0.102.9%1st Place
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5.57Jacksonville University1.5512.2%1st Place
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10.15Embry-Riddle University0.302.8%1st Place
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6.69Eckerd College1.348.1%1st Place
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10.06The Citadel0.362.9%1st Place
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12.9Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.2%1st Place
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9.34Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.1%1st Place
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11.29University of North Carolina-0.052.1%1st Place
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13.53Duke University-0.831.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Central Florida-0.461.5%1st Place
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16.34Auburn University-2.060.3%1st Place
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15.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Turner | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Matthew King | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| matthew Monts | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 3.8% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 6.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 3.4% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 22.2% | 48.4% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 28.2% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.