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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.68+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Florida3.41+0.22vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University0.76+6.62vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.70-0.33vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.66+1.93vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.38+1.71vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.07+1.53vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.88+6.04vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.93+0.06vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.28-5.05vs Predicted
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12Auburn University1.12-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-3.78vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-0.88+1.04vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.82-4.44vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.22-2.65vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.42-5.28vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-0.82-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3College of Charleston3.330.2%1st Place
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4.75University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Florida3.410.2%1st Place
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10.62Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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4.67Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.93Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.71North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.53Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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15.04Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.06University of North Carolina0.930.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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9.53Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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9.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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15.04Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.56Rollins College0.820.0%1st Place
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13.35Duke University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.72The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Georgia-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 23.6% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Degen | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 22.8% | 22.6% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Hurley | 0.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 11.6% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 22.8% | 40.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Largess | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 22.8% | 40.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Pierce | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Morton | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren McLean | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 22.8% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.