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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.88+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+4.02vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+2.35vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.53+1.42vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.62-0.19vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.31vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.10+2.12vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.34-2.32vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.22-3.07vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.36-0.98vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.30-1.88vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.17vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.05-2.61vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-1.30vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-3.42vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.99vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.06-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88College of Charleston1.8814.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Miami1.6410.1%1st Place
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5.52Jacksonville University1.5512.2%1st Place
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6.35University of South Florida1.458.8%1st Place
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6.42North Carolina State University1.538.9%1st Place
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5.81Florida State University1.629.6%1st Place
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9.31Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.2%1st Place
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10.12Rollins College0.102.9%1st Place
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6.68Eckerd College1.348.6%1st Place
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6.93Clemson University1.228.0%1st Place
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10.02The Citadel0.363.5%1st Place
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10.12Embry-Riddle University0.302.9%1st Place
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12.83Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.2%1st Place
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11.39University of North Carolina-0.052.0%1st Place
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13.7Duke University-0.830.8%1st Place
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12.58University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
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16.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
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16.3Auburn University-2.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Stordahl | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| matthew Monts | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 7.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 24.9% | 39.0% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 24.9% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.