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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+4.81vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.34+4.66vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+2.92vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.22+3.02vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55+0.47vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45+0.33vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.30+3.12vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+1.32vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.10+1.23vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.53-3.53vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.36-1.14vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.88-7.19vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.83+0.63vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.05-2.54vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.01vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-3.45vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.99vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.06-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Florida State University1.629.7%1st Place
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6.66Eckerd College1.347.5%1st Place
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5.92University of Miami1.6411.0%1st Place
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7.02Clemson University1.227.7%1st Place
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5.47Jacksonville University1.5512.1%1st Place
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6.33University of South Florida1.458.5%1st Place
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10.12Embry-Riddle University0.302.9%1st Place
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9.32Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.8%1st Place
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10.23Rollins College0.103.4%1st Place
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6.47North Carolina State University1.538.2%1st Place
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9.86The Citadel0.363.5%1st Place
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4.81College of Charleston1.8815.2%1st Place
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13.63Duke University-0.830.9%1st Place
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11.46University of North Carolina-0.051.9%1st Place
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12.99Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.4%1st Place
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12.55University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
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16.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
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16.34Auburn University-2.060.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Usher | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 6.7% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 27.1% | 36.9% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 23.4% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.