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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+4.24vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.22+4.59vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+2.74vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.88+0.75vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.30+4.88vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+3.04vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.77+2.49vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.34-1.61vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.10+0.82vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.05+1.11vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.45-5.02vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.42vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.36-3.52vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-2.06+2.11vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-2.83vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.61-0.64vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.11vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.62-12.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Jacksonville University1.5512.6%1st Place
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6.59Clemson University1.228.2%1st Place
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5.74University of Miami1.6410.8%1st Place
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4.75College of Charleston1.8813.5%1st Place
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9.88Embry-Riddle University0.303.6%1st Place
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9.04Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.5%1st Place
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9.49North Carolina State University0.773.4%1st Place
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6.39Eckerd College1.349.6%1st Place
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9.82Rollins College0.102.9%1st Place
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11.11University of North Carolina-0.052.2%1st Place
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5.98University of South Florida1.459.7%1st Place
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12.42Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.6%1st Place
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9.48The Citadel0.363.2%1st Place
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16.11Auburn University-2.060.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Central Florida-0.461.4%1st Place
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15.36Duke University-1.610.5%1st Place
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15.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.2%1st Place
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5.53Florida State University1.6211.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 13.5% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Noah Frank | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 13.4% | 23.9% | 39.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 18.8% | 27.0% | 21.5% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 15.7% | 25.9% | 32.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.