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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+4.71vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+3.53vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.34+3.30vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.77+5.46vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55+0.17vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.88-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.45-0.91vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.10+1.92vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.04vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.05+0.98vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.22-4.41vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.30-2.01vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.36-3.43vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.48vs Predicted
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15Duke University-1.61+0.31vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.24vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.06-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71University of Miami1.6410.9%1st Place
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5.53Florida State University1.6210.1%1st Place
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6.3Eckerd College1.349.2%1st Place
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9.46North Carolina State University0.773.4%1st Place
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5.17Jacksonville University1.5513.7%1st Place
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4.78College of Charleston1.8814.4%1st Place
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6.09University of South Florida1.459.0%1st Place
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9.92Rollins College0.103.5%1st Place
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9.04Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.0%1st Place
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10.98University of North Carolina-0.051.9%1st Place
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6.59Clemson University1.229.0%1st Place
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9.99Embry-Riddle University0.302.8%1st Place
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9.57The Citadel0.363.4%1st Place
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12.52Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.5%1st Place
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15.31Duke University-1.610.6%1st Place
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12.17University of Central Florida-0.461.8%1st Place
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15.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
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16.11Auburn University-2.060.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| William Turner | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Frank | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| William Robertson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 20.3% | 24.9% | 22.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 26.1% | 31.4% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 23.8% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.