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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Florida3.41+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.68+1.87vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.66+3.82vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.93+5.08vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.28+0.14vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.70-2.18vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.77+2.48vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.82+1.71vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.07-0.34vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.38-2.18vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-2.82vs Predicted
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13Auburn University1.12-3.33vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.22-1.39vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.76-5.25vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-0.82-2.12vs Predicted
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18Florida State University-0.88-3.00vs Predicted
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20Florida State University-0.88-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34College of Charleston3.330.2%1st Place
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3.17University of Florida3.410.2%1st Place
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4.87University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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7.82Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.08University of North Carolina0.930.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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4.82Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.48The Citadel0.770.0%1st Place
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10.71Rollins College0.820.0%1st Place
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9.66Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.82North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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9.67Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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13.61Duke University-0.220.0%1st Place
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10.75Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Georgia-0.820.0%1st Place
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15.0Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
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15.0Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 21.9% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 23.3% | 23.7% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Degen | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Largess | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 11.7% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Montgomery | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Blake Pierce | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Morton | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Joel Hurley | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren McLean | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 22.9% | 36.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 24.7% | 37.9% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 24.7% | 37.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.