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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+4.31vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.88+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+2.92vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.34+2.24vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.64+0.73vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.62-0.46vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.30+2.83vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+4.53vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.22-2.31vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.77-0.40vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.36-1.27vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-3.02vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.05-1.94vs Predicted
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14Duke University-1.61+1.36vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-2.79vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.10-6.17vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-2.06-0.85vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Jacksonville University1.5511.8%1st Place
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4.68College of Charleston1.8814.3%1st Place
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5.92University of South Florida1.4511.3%1st Place
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6.24Eckerd College1.349.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Miami1.6410.8%1st Place
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5.54Florida State University1.6210.9%1st Place
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9.83Embry-Riddle University0.303.1%1st Place
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12.53Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.5%1st Place
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6.69Clemson University1.229.2%1st Place
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9.6North Carolina State University0.773.4%1st Place
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9.73The Citadel0.363.0%1st Place
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8.98Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.5%1st Place
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11.06University of North Carolina-0.051.8%1st Place
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15.36Duke University-1.610.5%1st Place
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12.21University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
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9.83Rollins College0.103.4%1st Place
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16.15Auburn University-2.060.1%1st Place
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15.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| William Turner | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Frank | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 18.2% | 27.1% | 21.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 14.8% | 24.2% | 39.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 16.2% | 24.9% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.