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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+4.88vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+3.71vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.88+1.86vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.55+1.48vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.53+1.39vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.30+4.13vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.10+3.16vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45-1.71vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.34-2.47vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.22-3.43vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.36-1.26vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-2.96vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.64vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.05-2.85vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-2.81vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.53vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.61-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88University of Miami1.6411.1%1st Place
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5.71Florida State University1.6210.5%1st Place
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4.86College of Charleston1.8813.0%1st Place
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5.48Jacksonville University1.5511.9%1st Place
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6.39North Carolina State University1.538.8%1st Place
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10.13Embry-Riddle University0.302.4%1st Place
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10.16Rollins College0.102.7%1st Place
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6.29University of South Florida1.458.8%1st Place
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6.53Eckerd College1.348.2%1st Place
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6.57Clemson University1.228.6%1st Place
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9.74The Citadel0.363.9%1st Place
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9.04Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.9%1st Place
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12.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.5%1st Place
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11.15University of North Carolina-0.051.8%1st Place
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12.19University of Central Florida-0.461.4%1st Place
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15.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
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15.05Duke University-1.610.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 11.9% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Frank | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 5.7% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 5.5% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 23.9% | 47.9% |
| William Robertson | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 27.3% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.