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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.05+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16-0.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.25+0.03vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.13vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.27vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-2.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Georgetown University2.4035.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Vermont1.058.8%1st Place
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2.91University of Pennsylvania2.1623.3%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Naval Academy1.2511.3%1st Place
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5.13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.6%1st Place
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5.73SUNY Maritime College-0.024.5%1st Place
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4.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.048.9%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.711.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 35.2% | 27.5% | 18.4% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Calvin Lamosse | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 4.5% |
Jackson McAliley | 23.3% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Hugh Carty | 11.3% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 10.7% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 26.3% | 19.4% |
Mats Braaten | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 4.9% |
Matthew McCarvill | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.