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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon2.51+1.62vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.49+2.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.58+1.62vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.94-0.26vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.88-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.55-0.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.64-1.40vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.69-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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3.62University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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5.87Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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4.74Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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4.86Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 29.5% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Philip Gordon | 18.7% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Nelson | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| Shea Artis | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Joseph Teno | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Erika Vranizan | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Connor Bescos | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 14.5% |
| John Elam | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 33.4% |
| Eric Du | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 30.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 7.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.