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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+5.04vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.55+3.59vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.88+1.94vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.62+1.57vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+1.54vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.10+3.92vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.18vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.22-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.45-2.71vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.30+0.05vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.53-4.63vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.36-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.46-0.87vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.46vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.05-3.78vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.61-1.10vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04University of Miami1.6410.2%1st Place
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5.59Jacksonville University1.5510.6%1st Place
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4.94College of Charleston1.8813.2%1st Place
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5.57Florida State University1.6212.6%1st Place
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6.54Eckerd College1.348.1%1st Place
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9.92Rollins College0.102.4%1st Place
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9.18Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.9%1st Place
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6.67Clemson University1.227.6%1st Place
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6.29University of South Florida1.4510.2%1st Place
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10.05Embry-Riddle University0.302.4%1st Place
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6.37North Carolina State University1.539.6%1st Place
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9.71The Citadel0.363.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Central Florida-0.461.7%1st Place
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12.54Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.4%1st Place
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11.22University of North Carolina-0.052.1%1st Place
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14.9Duke University-1.610.9%1st Place
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15.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| William Turner | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Usher | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Frank | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 4.7% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 6.6% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| William Robertson | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 27.6% | 35.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 22.2% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.