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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.67+1.79vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.73+0.71vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.38+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.13vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.68-2.07vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.46-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Bates College0.6724.7%1st Place
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2.71Fairfield University0.7325.7%1st Place
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3.24McGill University0.3817.8%1st Place
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5.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.7%1st Place
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2.93University of New Hampshire0.6820.4%1st Place
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4.21Bentley University-0.467.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 24.7% | 22.7% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 25.7% | 23.4% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Hal Clews | 17.8% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 6.6% |
| Kate Myler | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 60.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 20.4% | 22.4% | 22.1% | 18.5% | 12.4% | 4.2% |
| Dane Phippen | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 31.8% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.