← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College0.67+1.80vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.68+0.89vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+2.12vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University-0.46+0.27vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University0.73-2.31vs Predicted
-
6McGill University0.38-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Bates College0.6725.1%1st Place
-
2.89University of New Hampshire0.6821.6%1st Place
-
5.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.774.0%1st Place
-
4.27Bentley University-0.467.5%1st Place
-
2.69Fairfield University0.7325.8%1st Place
-
3.23McGill University0.3816.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ted Lutton | 25.1% | 21.8% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
Grace Cannon | 21.6% | 22.0% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 3.0% |
Kate Myler | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 18.2% | 59.9% |
Dane Phippen | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 30.2% | 24.8% |
Wilson Kaznoski | 25.8% | 23.2% | 21.6% | 17.6% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
Hal Clews | 16.1% | 20.0% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.