← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University0.42+1.11vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.10+0.70vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.33+0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+0.67vs Predicted
-
5Bentley University-1.28-0.60vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-0.81-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.11Fairfield University0.4239.1%1st Place
-
2.7University of New Hampshire0.1023.4%1st Place
-
3.25Bates College-0.3315.7%1st Place
-
4.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.204.8%1st Place
-
4.4Bentley University-1.287.2%1st Place
-
3.88McGill University-0.819.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nolan Cooper | 39.1% | 28.8% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
Sam Harris | 23.4% | 25.3% | 22.8% | 18.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
Harry Stevenson | 15.7% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 7.3% |
Cole Perra | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 23.2% | 40.3% |
Brett Tardie | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 25.9% | 30.9% |
Pierre Offredi | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.