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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.84+2.28vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.06+0.90vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+0.55vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+0.01vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.23+5.07vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.89+7.72vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.22-0.90vs Predicted
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10Auburn University0.63-0.88vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-0.45+1.30vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.49-2.47vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.07-1.79vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.30-2.05vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.92-6.90vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.11-4.72vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-1.27-2.49vs Predicted
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18The Citadel-0.18-6.38vs Predicted
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19Florida State University-0.89-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Florida2.840.2%1st Place
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2.9College of Charleston3.060.3%1st Place
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3.55Eckerd College2.730.2%1st Place
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4.01University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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10.07Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.72Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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9.12Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.53Clemson University0.490.0%1st Place
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11.21Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.95Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.1Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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11.28University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.51North Carolina State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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11.62The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.72Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Famiglietti | 20.9% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Baldridge | 26.4% | 22.1% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 16.7% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 15.4% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Hickling | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Osler | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sage Stahmer | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| John Brandon | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| Donald Parker | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.