← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire0.10+1.67vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University0.42+0.12vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.33+0.30vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+0.63vs Predicted
-
5Bentley University-1.28-0.60vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-0.81-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.67University of New Hampshire0.1024.3%1st Place
-
2.12Fairfield University0.4239.0%1st Place
-
3.3Bates College-0.3314.6%1st Place
-
4.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.205.1%1st Place
-
4.4Bentley University-1.286.0%1st Place
-
3.88McGill University-0.8111.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 24.3% | 25.5% | 22.9% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 39.0% | 29.0% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 14.6% | 18.3% | 22.2% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 8.0% |
| Cole Perra | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 39.3% |
| Brett Tardie | 6.0% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 24.9% | 31.1% |
| Pierre Offredi | 11.0% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 23.1% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.