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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+0.68vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.33+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+0.65vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.81-1.12vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.28-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Fairfield University0.4238.8%1st Place
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2.68University of New Hampshire0.1025.1%1st Place
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3.24Bates College-0.3314.7%1st Place
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4.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.205.0%1st Place
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3.88McGill University-0.8110.4%1st Place
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4.43Bentley University-1.286.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 38.8% | 28.8% | 18.5% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Harris | 25.1% | 24.1% | 22.8% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Harry Stevenson | 14.7% | 17.7% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 16.7% | 5.3% |
| Cole Perra | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 22.9% | 41.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 10.4% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 18.1% |
| Brett Tardie | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 25.1% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.