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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.84+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.22+5.10vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.06-0.04vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73-0.40vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-0.89+8.45vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.51-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+1.79vs Predicted
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8Auburn University0.63+0.87vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University0.23+1.37vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.07+1.09vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.11+0.46vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.49-2.58vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.18-1.35vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.92-5.88vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-1.27-1.56vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-0.89-3.55vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-0.45-5.54vs Predicted
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20Rollins College-0.30-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Florida2.840.2%1st Place
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7.1University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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2.96College of Charleston3.060.2%1st Place
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3.6Eckerd College2.730.2%1st Place
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13.45Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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4.01University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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8.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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8.87Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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10.37Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.09Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.46University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.42Clemson University0.490.0%1st Place
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11.65The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.12Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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14.44North Carolina State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.45Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.97Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Famiglietti | 21.8% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Hickling | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed Baldridge | 24.6% | 23.9% | 19.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 18.6% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 14.3% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Sage Stahmer | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Osler | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Donald Parker | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Brandon | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 38.3% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.