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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.06+2.12vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.84+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.22+3.41vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.92+3.28vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.23+4.63vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.51-2.78vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.11+2.65vs Predicted
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10Rollins College1.27-2.77vs Predicted
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11Auburn University0.63-1.73vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.10-0.52vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-0.89+0.76vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.07-2.47vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.18-4.29vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-1.27-2.36vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-0.45-5.43vs Predicted
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20Florida State University-0.89-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12College of Charleston3.060.2%1st Place
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2.98Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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3.54University of Florida2.840.2%1st Place
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7.41University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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8.28Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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10.63Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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4.22University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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8.99University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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11.65University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.23Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.27Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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11.48Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.76Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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11.53Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.71The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.64North Carolina State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.76Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Baldridge | 22.9% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 23.6% | 24.4% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 18.2% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Hickling | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 13.3% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sage Stahmer | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Donald Parker | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| John Brandon | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 19.0% | 38.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.