Race 1A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Piper Holthus 16.6% 14.4% 14.5% 12.6% 12.5% 10.4% 8.2% 5.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Madison Bashaw 9.3% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 11.6% 11.2% 10.9% 9.4% 8.4% 5.9% 2.2%
Grace Watlington 3.5% 3.5% 5.0% 5.0% 5.8% 6.9% 8.5% 11.2% 13.7% 18.8% 18.2%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.2% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 8.2% 8.0% 10.9% 10.8% 13.7% 13.9% 11.1%
Heather Kerns 6.2% 7.1% 7.6% 8.5% 9.6% 10.3% 10.2% 13.7% 11.5% 10.3% 5.1%
Emma AuBuchon 5.7% 7.1% 6.4% 8.5% 8.8% 10.0% 11.1% 12.2% 11.6% 11.2% 7.6%
Eva Blauvelt 16.0% 15.5% 14.2% 13.2% 11.9% 10.7% 8.2% 5.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4%
Bridget Green 21.6% 19.4% 17.2% 13.2% 9.7% 8.1% 5.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Anna Groszkowski 1.8% 2.5% 2.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.8% 5.9% 7.8% 11.6% 15.8% 42.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 6.1% 7.1% 8.8% 10.0% 11.0% 14.8% 16.8% 11.7%
Sofia Segalla 10.8% 10.0% 11.2% 12.3% 11.7% 11.9% 10.4% 9.6% 6.6% 4.3% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.