Race 2A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bridget Green 22.1% 17.8% 14.9% 13.8% 10.5% 8.6% 5.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 16.2% 14.8% 14.2% 13.1% 11.6% 10.5% 8.6% 6.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Heather Kerns 6.6% 8.6% 8.6% 7.6% 8.9% 9.0% 11.1% 11.2% 12.6% 10.8% 5.1%
Piper Holthus 14.8% 15.3% 14.4% 14.8% 11.4% 10.3% 9.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.8% 7.6% 8.4% 10.2% 13.1% 13.9% 15.8% 9.6%
Sofia Segalla 10.8% 11.2% 10.1% 10.9% 12.7% 12.0% 10.1% 8.8% 7.1% 4.2% 2.1%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.5% 4.4% 5.8% 6.4% 6.8% 8.6% 10.5% 12.3% 14.2% 16.1% 10.4%
Emma AuBuchon 5.9% 5.8% 6.9% 7.2% 8.6% 11.9% 11.2% 11.3% 12.3% 11.7% 7.0%
Madison Bashaw 10.0% 10.2% 12.6% 11.4% 11.5% 10.8% 10.7% 9.0% 7.4% 4.7% 1.8%
Grace Watlington 2.9% 4.6% 4.5% 5.5% 6.3% 6.2% 8.6% 10.9% 14.9% 17.8% 17.7%
Anna Groszkowski 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 4.1% 3.5% 4.2% 7.5% 9.7% 15.7% 45.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.