Race 3A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Piper Holthus 16.7% 17.0% 13.9% 13.1% 11.8% 10.4% 7.2% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Eva Blauvelt 15.9% 14.1% 14.5% 13.7% 11.8% 10.1% 8.8% 5.3% 4.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Heather Kerns 6.1% 7.0% 8.0% 7.7% 9.0% 10.0% 11.6% 12.4% 11.3% 10.6% 6.2%
Bridget Green 21.3% 18.3% 17.8% 13.4% 10.2% 7.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Emma AuBuchon 6.2% 6.4% 6.4% 8.6% 8.6% 10.4% 11.0% 11.8% 12.0% 11.5% 7.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 6.8% 7.8% 8.9% 9.2% 11.8% 14.5% 14.2% 10.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.3% 5.9% 6.2% 6.0% 7.8% 8.3% 9.6% 12.8% 13.5% 15.4% 10.1%
Madison Bashaw 9.1% 9.4% 9.8% 10.8% 11.6% 10.7% 11.9% 11.5% 7.6% 5.7% 1.8%
Sofia Segalla 9.3% 10.3% 11.5% 10.7% 12.2% 11.2% 11.5% 8.6% 8.3% 4.9% 1.6%
Anna Groszkowski 2.4% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 4.9% 5.0% 7.2% 10.3% 16.1% 43.0%
Grace Watlington 3.8% 4.2% 3.9% 6.0% 5.5% 7.3% 8.8% 9.7% 13.6% 18.4% 18.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.