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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+1.93vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.49+3.83vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.88+1.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.58+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.10+1.61vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.94-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.55-0.18vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.69-3.71vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.64-3.41vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon2.51-11.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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5.83Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.98Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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4.75Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
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3.62University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 29.0% | 22.3% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Nelson | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Shea Artis | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Connor Bescos | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 13.2% |
| Joseph Teno | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| John Elam | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 33.1% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Eric Du | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 31.4% |
| Philip Gordon | 18.5% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.