← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.05+3.35vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.40+0.28vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+1.50vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.75vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.22vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.16-3.08vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy1.25-3.00vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.35University of Vermont1.059.8%1st Place
-
2.28Georgetown University2.4038.3%1st Place
-
4.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.047.8%1st Place
-
5.75SUNY Maritime College-0.024.0%1st Place
-
5.22St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.8%1st Place
-
2.92University of Pennsylvania2.1621.6%1st Place
-
4.0U. S. Naval Academy1.2511.1%1st Place
-
6.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.711.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Calvin Lamosse | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 3.5% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 38.3% | 25.8% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Mats Braaten | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 5.1% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 28.2% | 18.8% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 11.1% |
Jackson McAliley | 21.6% | 23.8% | 22.4% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Hugh Carty | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
Matthew McCarvill | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.