Race 4A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bridget Green 21.4% 19.1% 16.0% 15.5% 10.1% 7.0% 5.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.5% 3.9% 5.8% 7.1% 8.0% 9.1% 10.8% 12.0% 13.9% 13.7% 11.3%
Madison Bashaw 8.8% 10.4% 10.3% 10.5% 11.6% 11.7% 11.3% 9.8% 8.1% 4.8% 2.6%
Sofia Segalla 10.7% 10.7% 11.3% 11.1% 10.9% 11.5% 11.5% 9.7% 7.4% 4.0% 1.4%
Piper Holthus 16.9% 16.3% 13.5% 12.2% 13.4% 10.1% 6.5% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Eva Blauvelt 14.5% 16.0% 16.0% 13.7% 11.2% 10.2% 8.1% 5.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Emma AuBuchon 6.3% 6.3% 7.2% 7.9% 9.2% 9.6% 11.5% 12.6% 11.3% 11.2% 6.9%
Grace Watlington 4.0% 3.2% 5.0% 5.9% 5.5% 8.1% 7.6% 9.2% 15.8% 19.1% 16.7%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 6.5% 7.5% 9.0% 10.2% 12.8% 13.6% 15.4% 10.3%
Heather Kerns 6.7% 7.5% 6.7% 6.9% 10.3% 10.5% 11.7% 11.6% 12.7% 10.2% 5.3%
Anna Groszkowski 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.4% 3.2% 5.7% 7.6% 9.2% 17.5% 45.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.