Race 5A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Piper Holthus 15.7% 17.0% 14.7% 12.8% 12.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Bridget Green 21.9% 18.9% 15.6% 13.5% 10.9% 8.1% 6.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Madison Bashaw 9.3% 9.9% 9.4% 10.8% 11.3% 14.1% 10.1% 9.4% 7.2% 6.0% 2.4%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.5% 5.3% 6.5% 7.1% 7.0% 8.9% 10.2% 12.4% 14.1% 13.8% 10.1%
Heather Kerns 6.3% 6.3% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 9.8% 11.4% 13.5% 11.2% 10.9% 6.5%
Eva Blauvelt 16.0% 14.8% 14.8% 13.7% 12.6% 9.8% 7.4% 5.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5%
Anna Groszkowski 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 2.7% 3.4% 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 10.8% 17.1% 41.6%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.1% 5.0% 5.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.8% 11.1% 11.7% 13.7% 15.2% 10.7%
Emma AuBuchon 6.1% 6.0% 8.3% 8.5% 7.4% 10.0% 10.7% 13.2% 13.0% 10.3% 6.6%
Sofia Segalla 10.8% 11.0% 10.5% 11.3% 13.1% 9.8% 10.5% 8.5% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9%
Grace Watlington 3.4% 3.4% 4.4% 4.7% 5.9% 6.5% 8.7% 11.2% 14.1% 18.5% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.