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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.95+6.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.03+6.14vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-0.59vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32+1.40vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-1.90vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.58vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.13-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.77-3.91vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.69vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.65-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Old Dominion University0.955.6%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy2.0414.9%1st Place
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9.14University of Virginia-0.031.6%1st Place
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3.41Cornell University2.3822.1%1st Place
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6.4George Washington University1.325.2%1st Place
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4.1Georgetown University2.2016.0%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.769.0%1st Place
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7.06Fordham University1.134.9%1st Place
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5.09University of Pennsylvania1.7710.9%1st Place
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6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.976.8%1st Place
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7.8Christopher Newport University0.653.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 9.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 14.9% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 44.0% |
| Bridget Green | 22.1% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 16.0% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.