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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.84+2.52vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+0.99vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.06+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+5.08vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.51-0.89vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.27+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.22+0.48vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.92+0.24vs Predicted
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9Auburn University0.63+0.35vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.23+0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-0.45+1.64vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.11-1.48vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.07-2.60vs Predicted
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15Clemson University-0.10-3.38vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-1.27-1.48vs Predicted
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17The Citadel-0.18-5.18vs Predicted
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18Florida State University-0.89-4.18vs Predicted
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20Florida State University-0.89-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of Florida2.840.2%1st Place
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2.99Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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3.13College of Charleston3.060.2%1st Place
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9.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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4.11University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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7.38Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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8.24Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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9.35Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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10.39Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.52University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.4Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.62Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.52North Carolina State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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11.82The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.82Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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13.82Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Famiglietti | 18.0% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 24.6% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Baldridge | 22.6% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 14.1% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Hickling | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Sage Stahmer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| John Brandon | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 38.4% | 0.0% |
| Donald Parker | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.