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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+5.14vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.13+4.79vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+3.84vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.03+4.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.87vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.32-0.72vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-4.17vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-5.72vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.04-1.23vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.45-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.9%1st Place
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6.79Fordham University1.134.8%1st Place
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6.84Old Dominion University0.954.4%1st Place
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8.83University of Virginia-0.031.8%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy2.0417.5%1st Place
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5.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.769.0%1st Place
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6.28George Washington University1.326.3%1st Place
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3.83Georgetown University2.2017.3%1st Place
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3.28Cornell University2.3823.8%1st Place
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8.77Christopher Newport University0.042.8%1st Place
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6.15University of Pennsylvania1.456.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heather Kerns | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 7.9% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 7.3% |
Anna Groszkowski | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 20.2% | 37.0% |
Eva Blauvelt | 17.5% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Madison Bashaw | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
Emma AuBuchon | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
Piper Holthus | 17.3% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Bridget Green | 23.8% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Gail Schneider | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 21.1% | 34.6% |
Madeleine Rice | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.