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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+4.76vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.97+6.57vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria2.29+1.55vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.20+0.87vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.87+0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.79+0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.23+0.83vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.02+0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria1.14-0.94vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.48+0.22vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.70-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-2.20+2.59vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia0.47-2.65vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.21-9.23vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia0.38-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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8.57University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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4.87Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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8.49Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Victoria1.140.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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9.5University of British Columbia0.700.0%1st Place
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14.59University of Puget Sound-2.200.0%1st Place
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10.35University of British Columbia0.470.0%1st Place
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4.77Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.38University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Neil Roberts | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Geoff Abel | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 13.9% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Palmer | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 1.7% |
| Elisha Allen | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Eichar | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 88.7% |
| Landon Gartner | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 2.6% |
| Peter McGrath | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dodd | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.