Race 8A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elizabeth Gildea 5.3% 5.5% 6.6% 7.1% 7.8% 10.1% 11.1% 11.8% 13.7% 13.6% 7.6%
Heather Kerns 6.5% 7.5% 8.1% 9.2% 10.9% 9.8% 11.7% 11.8% 12.3% 8.8% 3.4%
Madeleine Rice 6.9% 7.0% 7.0% 9.9% 9.5% 11.0% 12.2% 11.6% 11.4% 8.9% 4.5%
Bridget Green 21.2% 19.7% 16.6% 13.9% 10.2% 8.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Madison Bashaw 10.2% 9.2% 10.9% 11.6% 12.5% 11.6% 12.0% 10.1% 7.0% 3.8% 1.1%
Eva Blauvelt 16.7% 16.7% 15.4% 13.4% 12.0% 10.2% 7.4% 4.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Anna Groszkowski 1.6% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 8.8% 12.2% 18.2% 37.0%
Piper Holthus 17.8% 16.5% 16.2% 12.0% 12.0% 10.0% 6.7% 4.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.8% 5.8% 5.9% 7.5% 9.8% 8.9% 10.1% 13.8% 13.5% 13.1% 7.0%
Emma AuBuchon 6.5% 7.8% 8.0% 8.8% 7.8% 10.7% 10.9% 12.0% 12.8% 10.2% 4.7%
Gail Schneider 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.8% 3.2% 4.7% 6.8% 7.8% 10.8% 21.1% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.