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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.72+5.48vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.15+3.46vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia2.18+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.65+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.61-0.48vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.72-1.83vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.12-1.49vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.03+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.22-1.15vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.01+1.02vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.10+0.19vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.19-0.43vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-1.44-0.90vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-1.65-1.60vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-1.48-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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5.46Western Washington University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.12University of British Columbia2.180.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Victoria1.650.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Victoria1.610.1%1st Place
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4.17Western Washington University1.720.1%1st Place
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5.51Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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8.34Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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7.85University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.1University of British Columbia-1.440.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
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12.0University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Gomez | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Burke Oklariski | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Jensen | 25.5% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Jespersen | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Colebrook | 14.6% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Service | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% |
| Noah Havelaar | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% |
| Carleen Kukat | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.0% |
| Juliette Funck | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 20.0% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 24.6% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.