Race 9A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Piper Holthus 18.6% 15.5% 16.9% 13.4% 11.8% 8.9% 5.9% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.6%
Emma AuBuchon 5.9% 7.0% 6.9% 9.0% 9.0% 10.3% 11.3% 11.2% 11.8% 11.2% 6.4%
Madeleine Rice 6.7% 7.0% 7.1% 8.1% 9.2% 11.1% 13.0% 11.2% 12.7% 8.9% 5.2%
Heather Kerns 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 8.0% 10.8% 10.7% 10.2% 12.6% 10.8% 9.8% 4.5%
Eva Blauvelt 16.6% 17.0% 15.3% 14.3% 11.8% 9.0% 6.8% 5.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.6% 5.5% 6.6% 6.5% 7.4% 9.3% 11.2% 12.4% 12.8% 13.5% 10.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.9% 5.0% 6.2% 6.4% 7.3% 9.4% 11.4% 13.2% 12.2% 14.0% 10.2%
Madison Bashaw 8.3% 8.9% 10.7% 11.8% 12.0% 12.6% 12.6% 8.7% 7.8% 4.5% 2.0%
Anna Groszkowski 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 5.3% 6.9% 10.8% 16.3% 43.5%
Bridget Green 22.6% 21.1% 15.4% 14.6% 10.9% 7.0% 4.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Grace Watlington 2.8% 3.5% 4.8% 5.1% 6.0% 7.0% 8.2% 11.5% 14.5% 19.4% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.