Race 10A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Madison Bashaw 11.7% 10.9% 10.9% 10.5% 11.9% 10.3% 10.4% 9.6% 7.9% 4.2% 1.7%
Piper Holthus 20.5% 18.1% 15.0% 13.0% 10.0% 8.2% 6.6% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Madeleine Rice 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 9.5% 8.9% 10.3% 10.8% 12.3% 10.7% 9.6% 4.9%
Sophia Devling 12.9% 12.3% 13.0% 13.0% 12.8% 11.0% 8.2% 7.9% 5.6% 2.8% 0.5%
Eva Blauvelt 17.7% 17.3% 16.3% 13.8% 10.5% 9.0% 6.8% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Anna Groszkowski 2.2% 1.9% 3.2% 2.1% 3.4% 5.1% 5.5% 7.8% 9.4% 16.2% 43.0%
Emma AuBuchon 5.7% 8.1% 6.9% 8.2% 9.7% 10.4% 11.2% 11.1% 12.1% 10.2% 6.5%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.4% 5.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 10.0% 9.6% 15.1% 13.7% 10.4%
Heather Kerns 6.9% 8.2% 8.6% 8.5% 11.1% 10.8% 10.4% 11.7% 10.2% 8.7% 5.0%
Grace Watlington 4.5% 4.2% 5.5% 6.0% 5.5% 7.0% 9.0% 10.0% 12.7% 18.1% 17.3%
Elizabeth Cutler 5.2% 5.8% 6.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.8% 11.1% 11.2% 10.9% 14.4% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.