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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.36+5.79vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.91+6.56vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+2.95vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+6.38vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.25-1.70vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.84+1.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.20vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.46+0.27vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.23-3.30vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.00-3.72vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University2.71-3.45vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.92-5.24vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.38-4.32vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.19-2.58vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.56Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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5.95College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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4.3College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.27Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.7Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.28University of South Florida3.000.1%1st Place
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9.55Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.76Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.68George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.42Clemson University1.190.0%1st Place
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13.87Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Carney | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.2% |
| Michael Ramming | 17.1% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Mary Hall | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Carolyn Ortel | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Paul Perry | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| John McGlynn | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Zach Runci | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Ian Connors | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Samuel Duckworth | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 39.7% |
| John Reddaway | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 20.7% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.