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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+4.85vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.25+1.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.73vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.84+3.98vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+1.32vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.00+0.33vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.67vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.91-1.19vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.46-0.75vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.92-3.19vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.65-7.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-2.39vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.38-4.18vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University2.71-6.65vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.19-2.62vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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4.11College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.18Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.33University of South Florida3.000.1%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.81Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.25Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.99College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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11.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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10.82George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.35Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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14.38Clemson University1.190.0%1st Place
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13.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 19.4% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Carolyn Ortel | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Perry | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Zach Runci | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Stokes | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% |
| Ian Connors | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| John McGlynn | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Duckworth | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 38.5% |
| John Reddaway | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 19.9% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.