Race 11A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sophia Devling 14.9% 12.2% 12.4% 12.8% 12.3% 10.0% 8.6% 7.2% 5.5% 2.8% 1.3%
Madeleine Rice 7.4% 7.8% 9.2% 9.5% 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 10.3% 11.6% 8.3% 5.3%
Piper Holthus 18.5% 17.3% 15.8% 13.0% 11.9% 8.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Madison Bashaw 10.3% 10.8% 10.3% 11.5% 10.4% 12.4% 11.7% 8.5% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.2% 5.7% 6.4% 7.2% 8.6% 8.4% 10.5% 11.8% 12.6% 13.8% 10.8%
Eva Blauvelt 20.0% 17.9% 14.1% 13.6% 9.6% 8.8% 7.1% 4.2% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Anna Groszkowski 2.5% 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 4.9% 6.3% 7.1% 9.2% 15.7% 41.7%
Emma AuBuchon 5.9% 6.9% 8.6% 6.9% 10.3% 9.6% 11.7% 11.8% 10.4% 12.0% 5.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.9% 5.8% 7.8% 7.0% 8.1% 9.2% 9.0% 11.6% 13.1% 14.2% 9.3%
Heather Kerns 7.4% 8.1% 8.0% 10.2% 9.2% 9.7% 10.2% 11.8% 10.6% 10.1% 4.8%
Grace Watlington 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 5.2% 5.9% 7.8% 8.2% 11.3% 13.4% 16.4% 19.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.