Race 1B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 13.9% 16.0% 14.1% 14.5% 11.4% 11.1% 7.6% 5.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Meredith Moran 21.3% 18.6% 16.2% 12.4% 9.6% 7.8% 6.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4%
Torrey Chisari 18.9% 17.5% 14.3% 12.6% 10.9% 10.2% 7.8% 3.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Lily Flack 7.9% 7.9% 11.0% 9.7% 9.7% 10.7% 10.3% 11.3% 10.1% 7.5% 3.9%
Brook Wood 6.2% 6.2% 7.5% 8.3% 8.6% 9.8% 11.4% 11.5% 12.6% 10.5% 7.2%
Islay Van Dusen 10.2% 11.1% 10.4% 12.4% 10.8% 10.2% 11.0% 8.5% 6.9% 6.2% 2.4%
Caroline Sandoval 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 7.0% 8.1% 8.2% 10.3% 12.1% 13.9% 13.6% 10.3%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.8% 6.5% 8.5% 8.8% 11.3% 11.2% 11.9% 11.6% 10.9% 8.5% 4.2%
Hannah Mercurio 2.0% 1.6% 2.4% 3.5% 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% 7.9% 10.1% 16.8% 40.1%
Laura Smith 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 6.4% 8.6% 9.0% 9.6% 11.7% 13.4% 15.1% 10.7%
Allison Volk 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 6.4% 6.7% 7.7% 11.8% 13.4% 18.7% 20.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.