Race 2B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Islay Van Dusen 9.0% 11.6% 11.2% 11.0% 10.8% 11.8% 10.2% 9.3% 8.6% 4.4% 1.9%
Riley Kloc 14.4% 15.5% 14.4% 12.8% 12.1% 10.8% 7.0% 6.3% 3.2% 2.6% 0.7%
Meredith Moran 20.6% 17.4% 15.0% 13.4% 11.2% 8.7% 7.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Torrey Chisari 19.7% 15.0% 14.8% 16.1% 11.3% 7.0% 7.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Allison Volk 3.4% 3.2% 4.9% 5.7% 5.2% 6.7% 8.5% 10.2% 13.6% 18.9% 19.7%
Laura Smith 5.1% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 8.6% 8.3% 10.2% 11.6% 14.0% 13.5% 11.7%
Caroline Sandoval 4.5% 5.5% 7.3% 6.0% 7.8% 10.3% 10.5% 10.9% 13.3% 14.4% 9.2%
Lily Flack 8.4% 9.4% 8.7% 9.3% 10.6% 11.1% 12.1% 9.6% 8.6% 8.0% 4.2%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 7.8% 9.1% 10.2% 10.9% 13.5% 11.3% 9.2% 5.9%
Brook Wood 6.3% 7.4% 6.5% 8.9% 9.3% 10.9% 11.1% 12.3% 11.4% 9.5% 6.2%
Hannah Mercurio 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 2.8% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 7.7% 11.1% 17.5% 40.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.