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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+1.33vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+0.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.25-0.98vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.40-3.76vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of Pennsylvania2.1622.4%1st Place
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5.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.9%1st Place
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4.33University of Vermont1.059.7%1st Place
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4.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.048.4%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Naval Academy1.2510.1%1st Place
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2.24Georgetown University2.4038.3%1st Place
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5.81SUNY Maritime College-0.023.5%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.711.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 22.4% | 22.9% | 22.2% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 22.0% | 9.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 4.5% |
| Hugh Carty | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 38.3% | 26.8% | 18.1% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 26.8% | 19.2% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.