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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+4.94vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.25+2.12vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23+4.57vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+6.68vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.92+3.54vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.36+1.19vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.84+1.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.66vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University2.71-0.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.75vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-4.99vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.00-4.54vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.91-6.14vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.46-5.66vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.49-1.37vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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4.12College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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7.57Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.68George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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9.36Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.01Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.46University of South Florida3.000.1%1st Place
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8.86Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.34Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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15.63Clemson University0.490.0%1st Place
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13.74Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 19.1% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Ortel | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ian Connors | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Zach Runci | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Schalka | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Mary Hall | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 4.4% |
| John McGlynn | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Paul Perry | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Sean Osler | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 62.5% |
| John Reddaway | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 27.5% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.