Race 3B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 15.4% 14.7% 14.1% 13.3% 11.8% 10.8% 8.4% 5.5% 3.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Meredith Moran 17.3% 18.9% 16.2% 13.4% 10.7% 8.3% 6.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Laura Smith 5.0% 5.7% 4.5% 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 10.8% 12.8% 13.1% 14.2% 11.3%
Torrey Chisari 19.1% 16.2% 16.7% 13.8% 10.9% 8.8% 6.2% 4.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Islay Van Dusen 11.6% 11.3% 11.1% 9.9% 11.7% 10.7% 10.2% 9.7% 8.1% 4.2% 1.7%
Caroline Sandoval 5.3% 6.8% 6.0% 6.0% 7.8% 7.6% 11.1% 12.4% 13.4% 13.8% 9.8%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.6% 7.3% 7.0% 9.4% 10.3% 10.1% 12.0% 11.6% 11.9% 9.1% 4.7%
Brook Wood 7.0% 6.3% 7.2% 8.8% 8.8% 11.1% 10.8% 10.5% 12.0% 10.8% 6.5%
Allison Volk 2.9% 3.0% 4.7% 5.9% 6.1% 7.8% 7.7% 11.1% 12.6% 17.7% 20.8%
Hannah Mercurio 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 4.1% 3.8% 5.4% 6.5% 11.2% 17.2% 40.8%
Lily Flack 8.2% 7.3% 8.9% 9.8% 9.8% 12.8% 10.6% 10.3% 9.6% 8.9% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.