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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+3.32vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.88+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.18+1.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.96+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.79-0.39vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University-0.16+1.08vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.88vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.54-1.89vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-3.56vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.58-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Georgetown University1.3715.3%1st Place
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3.92Cornell University1.8816.6%1st Place
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4.03University of Pennsylvania1.7217.5%1st Place
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5.01U. S. Naval Academy1.1810.2%1st Place
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5.34George Washington University0.9610.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island0.799.7%1st Place
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8.08Old Dominion University-0.163.6%1st Place
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7.12Christopher Newport University-0.844.5%1st Place
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7.11Fordham University0.544.4%1st Place
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6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.566.2%1st Place
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9.01University of Virginia-0.582.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Riley Kloc | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Meredith Moran | 16.6% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Torrey Chisari | 17.5% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Ava Farley | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
Islay Van Dusen | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
Leah Rickard | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
Allison Volk | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 21.6% |
Laura Smith | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 10.7% |
Caroline Sandoval | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 11.1% |
Brook Wood | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
Hannah Mercurio | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.