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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+3.32vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.79+2.73vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.88-0.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.54+1.99vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.96-0.61vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.18-3.04vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.58+0.05vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University-0.16-1.97vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Georgetown University1.3715.4%1st Place
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3.97University of Pennsylvania1.7217.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island0.798.3%1st Place
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3.81Cornell University1.8817.9%1st Place
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6.99Fordham University0.545.7%1st Place
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5.39George Washington University0.968.9%1st Place
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6.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.565.8%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy1.1811.7%1st Place
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9.05University of Virginia-0.581.8%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University-0.163.1%1st Place
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7.16Christopher Newport University-0.844.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 17.9% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 10.8% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Brook Wood | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 6.2% |
| Ava Farley | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 43.0% |
| Allison Volk | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 20.1% |
| Laura Smith | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.