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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.51vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+7.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.75vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+4.70vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+2.40vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+6.22vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.33-1.00vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.57+3.70vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.12-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.72-2.11vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University1.87+0.09vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.51-3.20vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.06-6.01vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.89-6.45vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.68-6.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-1.13vs Predicted
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18Clemson University-0.10-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University2.200.0%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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8.7Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.4Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.22Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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6.0College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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11.7Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.83College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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11.09Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.8George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.99Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.55Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.25University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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14.87University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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15.68Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Popp | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 21.2% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| William Sands | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Richard Ross | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 4.7% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 2.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| AJ Degen | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Ryder | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 31.8% | 30.5% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 20.2% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.