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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.79+2.66vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University-0.16+4.04vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.61vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37-1.64vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.54+0.08vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.58-0.03vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.96-4.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.18-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Cornell University1.8816.9%1st Place
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3.98University of Pennsylvania1.7219.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island0.798.3%1st Place
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8.04Old Dominion University-0.162.8%1st Place
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6.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.565.8%1st Place
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4.36Georgetown University1.3715.2%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University0.544.4%1st Place
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7.08Christopher Newport University-0.845.2%1st Place
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8.97University of Virginia-0.582.1%1st Place
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5.38George Washington University0.968.8%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Naval Academy1.1811.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 16.9% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 19.1% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Allison Volk | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 21.5% |
| Brook Wood | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 10.5% |
| Laura Smith | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 10.9% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 41.8% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Ava Farley | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.