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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 15.0% 15.1% 15.3% 12.8% 12.0% 10.5% 7.6% 5.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Islay Van Dusen 9.7% 10.6% 10.8% 10.8% 12.2% 11.7% 11.2% 9.4% 7.8% 4.2% 1.5%
Torrey Chisari 19.4% 17.2% 15.6% 12.8% 10.3% 8.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Hannah Mercurio 2.1% 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 4.2% 4.5% 5.7% 8.6% 11.5% 18.2% 37.8%
Caroline Sandoval 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 7.4% 8.3% 9.2% 10.5% 11.7% 14.0% 13.6% 8.2%
Elizabeth Starck 8.7% 9.7% 9.8% 10.5% 11.8% 11.9% 12.1% 10.0% 7.8% 5.7% 2.0%
Meredith Moran 19.2% 19.7% 15.4% 13.6% 10.3% 8.4% 5.9% 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Leah Rickard 9.4% 8.0% 9.6% 11.5% 10.5% 11.8% 13.5% 10.4% 7.5% 5.6% 2.1%
Laura Smith 5.4% 4.5% 5.7% 7.2% 8.9% 9.3% 10.0% 12.7% 15.2% 12.0% 9.0%
Isabella Fadullon 3.2% 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 5.8% 6.2% 7.9% 11.2% 14.0% 18.4% 21.2%
Allison Volk 3.2% 4.0% 4.7% 5.8% 5.5% 7.3% 7.9% 10.5% 13.9% 19.5% 17.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.