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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+3.19vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.96+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.58+4.83vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.54+1.81vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.56vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.88-3.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.79-2.51vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy-0.22-2.06vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University-0.16-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Georgetown University1.3715.0%1st Place
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5.21George Washington University0.969.7%1st Place
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3.79University of Pennsylvania1.7219.4%1st Place
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8.83University of Virginia-0.582.1%1st Place
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6.81Fordham University0.544.7%1st Place
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5.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.918.7%1st Place
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3.67Cornell University1.8819.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island0.799.4%1st Place
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6.89Christopher Newport University-0.845.4%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy-0.223.2%1st Place
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7.73Old Dominion University-0.163.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Riley Kloc | 15.0% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Islay Van Dusen | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Torrey Chisari | 19.4% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Hannah Mercurio | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 37.8% |
Caroline Sandoval | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 8.2% |
Elizabeth Starck | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
Meredith Moran | 19.2% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Leah Rickard | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
Laura Smith | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% |
Isabella Fadullon | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 21.2% |
Allison Volk | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.