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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+2.63vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.40vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.96+2.29vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.37+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.79+0.43vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University-0.16+1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.72-3.08vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.58-0.19vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy-0.22-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Cornell University1.8820.8%1st Place
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5.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.919.4%1st Place
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5.29George Washington University0.969.8%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University1.3715.3%1st Place
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5.43University of Rhode Island0.798.8%1st Place
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7.71Old Dominion University-0.163.9%1st Place
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3.92University of Pennsylvania1.7217.2%1st Place
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6.8Fordham University0.544.5%1st Place
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8.81University of Virginia-0.581.8%1st Place
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6.9Christopher Newport University-0.845.2%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy-0.223.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 20.8% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Allison Volk | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 16.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 38.1% |
| Laura Smith | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 9.2% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.