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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.72+6.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.61vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+8.00vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.12+1.52vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.33+0.13vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20+2.88vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51+0.56vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54-0.08vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-2.59vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.06-4.04vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.57-0.09vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University1.87-1.89vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.89-7.39vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.68-7.83vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-2.13vs Predicted
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18Clemson University-0.10-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86University of Wisconsin2.720.1%1st Place
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3.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.0Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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6.13College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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9.88Georgetown University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.56George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.92Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.41Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.96Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.91Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.11Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.61Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.17University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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14.87University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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15.72Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Boylan | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 21.3% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 3.9% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Sands | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Tony Collins | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| AJ Degen | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Ryder | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 30.2% | 30.8% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 21.2% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.